Fantasy Investing 2020 May Update

Fantasy Investing 2020 May Update

Seeing as the Fantasy Investing season is almost half over, I figure it’s time for a quick check-in. Sorry that it’s been awhile. I expected to write something up sooner but the past few months have been a little busier and more chaotic than expected. As a reminder, if you want to follow along with how the season is going, you can check out the portfolios and their performance at any time in the shared google spreadsheet by clicking here.

As you probably already know, it’s been quite a wild ride for the market in 2020 so far, and the changing Fantasy Investing standings have definitely reflected that. Joe jumped out to a huge lead on the strength of Beyond Meat, with David and myself also putting in strong showings. Then, everything fell apart and it became a battle of who would be least negative. Now, there has been a little bit of separation, with a clear winner and a bunch of wannabees.

As of market close on May 15th, here are the standings.

  1. David: 38.3%
  2. Paul: 0.8%
  3. Joe: -1.7%
  4. Gurkie: -6.0%
  5. Daniel: -13.3%
  6. Matt: -15.5%
  7. Adrian: -15.9%

The S&P 500 is down 11.7% during the same time, to put some of the results in context. Overall, the results are pretty encouraging to those who believe it’s possible to beat the market. Our two closet indexers are slightly losing to the market and four out of the five stock pickers are beating the market (including one who is doing it quite handily).

David is crushing everybody thanks to Tesla (TSLA) and Teladoc (TDOC), up 88% and 119% respectively. Both stocks are Freedom Portfolio holdings, so I can’t be too upset with them. Joe has an incredible winner in Beyond Meat (BYND), but his portfolio is also being weighed down by Jumia (JMIA), which unfortunately is also a Freedom Portfolio holding. Adrian, the sole stock picker who is losing to the market, is being weighed down by his pick of UPRO (ironically, a leveraged fund).

Speaking for my own portfolio, while I think catching David is going to be incredibly difficult, I like my chances for continuing to outperform the market for the rest of the year. Teleria (which has now merged with Rubicon, which has caused some headaches for scoring) was one of the best performing positions in the first few months of the year before getting hit hard by the COVID-19 market collapse and it has never recovered. 2020 might be a tough year for advertising revenue, but I think RUBI should be well positioned for the future and could claw its way back to even before the year is over. That will go a long way towards helping catch up with the rocket ships that are Tesla and Teladoc.

Thanks, as always, for following along. Hope you’re enjoying the competition as much as I am.

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